Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Rochdale
23.9%
Draw
38.5%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Rochdale
vs
1.35
Oxford
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).