Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Alcorcon
35.3%
Draw
41.7%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Alcorcon
vs
0.93
Burgos
Markets
BTTS27.2%
Over 0.578.4%
Over 1.545.1%
Over 2.519.8%
Over 3.56.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.6%
0-1
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).