Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Benevento
22.9%
Draw
52.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Benevento
vs
1.78
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).