Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Man United
22.8%
Draw
19.3%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Man United
vs
1.20
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).