Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Northampton
18.9%
Draw
69.5%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Northampton
vs
1.91
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
14.8%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).