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AHT: 10CSV

07 May 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.0%
Fuenlabrada
25.2%
Draw
40.7%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.45

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).