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11 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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85.7%
Airdrie Utd
9.6%
Draw
4.6%
Kelty Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

3.42

Airdrie Utd

vs
0.78

Kelty Hearts

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.0%
2-0
8.8%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
4.3%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).