Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Alaves
28.4%
Draw
22.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Alaves
vs
0.78
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).