Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Brescia
26.5%
Draw
51.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Brescia
vs
1.68
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).