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HHT: 10

03 Nov 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Varaždin
32.5%
Draw
36.9%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Varaždin

vs
1.15

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).