Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Oldham
26.2%
Draw
17.9%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Oldham
vs
0.84
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).