Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Elche
23.4%
Draw
10.3%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Elche
vs
0.46
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS29.7%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).