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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.5%
Zenit
12.1%
Draw
3.4%
Krylya Sovetov

Expected Goals (xG)

2.77

Zenit

vs
0.46

Krylya Sovetov

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.1%
3-0
14.0%
1-0
10.3%
4-0
9.7%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).