Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Boavista
33.2%
Draw
43.1%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Boavista
vs
1.13
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.0%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).