Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Birmingham
23.7%
Draw
56.3%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Birmingham
vs
1.90
Fulham
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).