Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Le Havre
23.1%
Draw
54.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Le Havre
vs
1.66
Marseille
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).