Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Moreirense
30.8%
Draw
22.2%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Moreirense
vs
0.78
Farense
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).