Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Stevenage
25.1%
Draw
17.0%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Stevenage
vs
0.62
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).