Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Vallecano
27.3%
Draw
25.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Vallecano
vs
0.99
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).