Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Birmingham
30.2%
Draw
31.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Birmingham
vs
1.11
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).