Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Hertha
27.4%
Draw
37.0%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Hertha
vs
1.43
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).