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AHT: 01CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Hull
28.6%
Draw
24.7%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Hull

vs
0.99

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).