Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Brentford
25.9%
Draw
31.1%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Brentford
vs
1.47
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).