Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Alcorcon
30.2%
Draw
32.3%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Alcorcon
vs
0.97
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).