Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Sunderland
20.9%
Draw
16.6%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Sunderland
vs
0.78
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).