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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.5%
Cracovia Kraków
26.7%
Draw
20.8%
Arka Gdynia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Cracovia Kraków

vs
0.94

Arka Gdynia

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).