Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Akhmat Grozny
26.6%
Draw
34.4%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Akhmat Grozny
vs
1.48
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).