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14 Apr 2025 · 17:10

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Panathinaikos
30.5%
Draw
36.4%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Panathinaikos

vs
1.23

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).