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05 Apr 2022 · 19:45

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
Sheffield United
25.1%
Draw
22.6%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Sheffield United

vs
1.09

QPR

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).