Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Juve Stabia
31.1%
Draw
26.2%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Juve Stabia
vs
0.94
Spezia
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).