Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Lincoln
19.9%
Draw
21.7%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Lincoln
vs
1.11
Oxford
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).