Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Motherwell
27.4%
Draw
33.0%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Motherwell
vs
1.27
Celtic
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).