Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Sassuolo
22.4%
Draw
20.5%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Sassuolo
vs
1.22
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).