Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Accrington
26.0%
Draw
21.9%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Accrington
vs
0.82
Barrow
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).