Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Ponferradina
31.6%
Draw
35.6%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Ponferradina
vs
0.97
Leganes
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).