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04 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.2%
Mjällby
32.6%
Draw
13.2%
IFK Göteborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Mjällby

vs
0.48

IFK Göteborg

Markets

BTTS28.2%
Over 0.580.9%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.1%
0-0
19.1%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%
4-0
1.8%
2-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).