Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Albacete
26.9%
Draw
24.5%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Albacete
vs
0.91
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).