Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Baltika Kaliningrad
34.7%
Draw
11.7%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.40
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS23.4%
Over 0.577.3%
Over 1.546.6%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.4%
0-0
22.7%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
0-2
1.7%
4-0
1.5%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).