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21 Sept 2024 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice
27.1%
Draw
45.7%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.57

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).