Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Venezia
26.7%
Draw
20.5%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Venezia
vs
0.77
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).