Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Luton
31.6%
Draw
31.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Luton
vs
1.03
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).