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26 Oct 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Śląsk Wrocław
28.8%
Draw
43.6%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Śląsk Wrocław

vs
1.41

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).