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DHT: 12CSV

29 Jun 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.2%
Cosenza
31.3%
Draw
42.5%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Cosenza

vs
1.26

Trapani

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).