Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Celta
31.1%
Draw
18.9%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Celta
vs
0.64
Getafe
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).