Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Genk
25.1%
Draw
32.3%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Genk
vs
1.36
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).