Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.96
Ulm
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).