Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Blackpool
24.2%
Draw
35.0%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Blackpool
vs
1.25
Luton
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).