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26 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Cercle Brugge
29.4%
Draw
24.2%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Cercle Brugge

vs
0.89

Standard

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).