Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Lincoln
23.7%
Draw
28.7%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Lincoln
vs
1.10
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).