Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Falkirk
23.4%
Draw
17.9%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Falkirk
vs
0.96
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).